Debt relief produces a perverse crowding-out: lending institutions (World Bank IDA, IMF) must make balance-sheet allowances when writing off debt, so aggregate aid resources shrink; moreover relief shifts the fixed pool of goodwill toward less-effective bilateral aid and away from more-effective multilateral aid, so countries do not net gain the forgiven amount.
causalpending
Speaker
Peter HenryEvidence Quote
“a weird kind of crowding out... debt relief effectively does because... a fixed amount of kind of goodwill in the world... aid that really goes up bilateral aid flows go down by roughly the same amount”
Created: 6/17/2026, 10:31:29 AM
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