The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage ultimately requires taxpayers to bear the tail risk because Wall Street has proven it cannot absorb extreme tail risk—especially on the house-price side, where firms ran to the government when prices fell; Wall Street's preferred outcome is to revive a 1970s-style Freddie Mac that is purely a government guarantor of default risk (with no private shareholders or portfolio), leaving Wall Street free to securitize and profit from the prepayment option.

causalpending

Speaker

Arnold Kling

Evidence Quote

it took care of the default option... but it did not take care of any of the risk and the prepayment option and that gives that would give Wall Street the opportunity to carve up mortgages into securities where the prepayment option would be hidden and spread around

Source

Arnold Kling on the Unseen World of Banking, Mortgages, and Government 07/5/2010EconTalk
Created: 6/13/2026, 7:04:06 PM

My Notes

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