Random digit dialing became the dominant phone-polling method because roughly 30% of the population had unlisted numbers, making listing-based sampling infeasible; it worked well for 20-30 years but broke down in the last 10-15 years as marketing calls, cell phones, and distrust drove cooperation rates from ~70% down to ~20% or less, hurting accuracy.

causalpending

Speaker

Doug Rivers

Evidence Quote

it's no longer feasible to get for example 70 percent of the people you call to be polled the typical response rates now are 20% maybe even less

Source

Doug Rivers on polling 7/21/2008EconTalk
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:28:54 AM

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