Network exit polls (high-quality, ~50% response rate) have consistently overstated the Democratic share of the vote in presidential elections (2000, 2004), but because this bias appeared uniformly nationwide—including areas controlled by neither party—it indicates a systematic polling tendency, not the voter fraud that naive observers inferred.

causalpending

Speaker

Doug Rivers

Evidence Quote

those of us who were involved in the exit polling were long aware of a tendency to overstate the Democratic vote

Source

Doug Rivers on polling 7/21/2008EconTalk
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:28:54 AM

My Notes

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