The availability heuristic causes people to assess probabilities not like statisticians but by how easily they can recall an example; this explains why people wrongly believe homicides exceed suicides and accidents exceed diseases as causes of death, when the reverse is true, because homicides and accidents are more salient/available.
causalpending
Speaker
Cass SunsteinEvidence Quote
“when people are assessing probabilities they we don't work as statisticians they think can I think of an example in which the event came to fruition and if you can think of an easy example than the probability judgment will be driven up accordingly”
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:17:23 AM
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