The 'this time is different' syndrome is a recurring psychological frame in which policymakers and market participants believe old valuation rules (price-earnings ratios, debt-to-income) no longer apply to them—crises happen to 'other people at other times'—which allows them to overlook mounting warning signs like real estate bubbles, unsustainable current account deficits, and off-the-chart household debt.
causalpending
Speaker
Carmen ReinhartEvidence Quote
“the title is ironic it is meant to capture the we are geniuses mentality that had characterizes the boom prior to the crash”
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:20:19 AM
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