The 'this time is different' syndrome is a recurring psychological frame in which policymakers and market participants believe old valuation rules (price-earnings ratios, debt-to-income) no longer apply to them—crises happen to 'other people at other times'—which allows them to overlook mounting warning signs like real estate bubbles, unsustainable current account deficits, and off-the-chart household debt.

causalpending

Speaker

Carmen Reinhart

Evidence Quote

the title is ironic it is meant to capture the we are geniuses mentality that had characterizes the boom prior to the crash

Source

Carmen Reinhart on Financial Crises 11/23/2009EconTalk
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:20:19 AM

My Notes

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