The Condorcet Jury Theorem shows that if each member of a group is more likely than not to get the right answer, the probability that the majority gets it right approaches 100% as group size grows; but if the group suffers a systematic bias making them more likely wrong than right, that probability falls to 0% as the group grows.
factualpending
Speaker
Cass SunsteinEvidence Quote
“the conger state jury theorem which suggests if you have a group of people each of whom is more likely to get the right answer than the wrong answer... the likelihood that the majority will get a right approach as a hundred percent as the size of the group expands”
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:20:35 AM
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