Weighting creates two distinct problems: it roughly doubles the real variability compared to a simple random sample, and it leaves residual skews (unobserved or uncorrected biases) that do NOT shrink as sample size grows, so conventional sampling-error estimates tell you how the procedure varies sample-to-sample but not how systematically wrong the procedure is.

causalpending

Speaker

Doug Rivers

Evidence Quote

the conventional sampling error estimate tells you how much the same procedure will vary from sample to sample it doesn't tell you how systematically wrong that procedure is

Source

Doug Rivers on polling 7/21/2008EconTalk
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:28:54 AM

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