The current US system has three compounding failures: deposit insurance and too-big-to-fail (first seen in the 1983-84 Continental Illinois bailout) removed depositor discipline, leaving only prudential regulators to identify risk; those regulators fail because they outsource risk measurement to the banks themselves and to ratings agencies; and the government simultaneously subsidizes huge housing risk—so when loose 2002-2005 monetary policy (negative real Fed Funds, >1-2% departures from the Taylor rule) added cheap credit, a severe banking crisis was the predictable result.
causalpending
Speaker
Charles CalomirisEvidence Quote
“you combine all those I'm sorry to say government mistakes and what you end up with is a huge banking crisis that looks a lot like what banking crises that are this costly looked like in other places at other times”
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:20:15 AM
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