A little anticipated deflation is not harmful (the 19th century saw deflation with rising output and low unemployment), but large unanticipated deflation (~10%/year) is destructive when combined with nominal rigidities: firms facing falling output prices that cannot cut wages proportionally must shed workers and contract.
causalpending
Speaker
Douglas IrwinEvidence Quote
“Nothing's wrong with a little deflation, particularly if it's anticipated... when prices fall 10% a year and no one expects them to and you introduce some nominal rigidities or nominal debt burdens”
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:36:56 AM
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