A little anticipated deflation is not harmful (the 19th century saw deflation with rising output and low unemployment), but large unanticipated deflation (~10%/year) is destructive when combined with nominal rigidities: firms facing falling output prices that cannot cut wages proportionally must shed workers and contract.

causalpending

Speaker

Douglas Irwin

Evidence Quote

Nothing's wrong with a little deflation, particularly if it's anticipated... when prices fall 10% a year and no one expects them to and you introduce some nominal rigidities or nominal debt burdens

Source

Douglas Irwin on the Great Depression and the Gold Standard 10/11/2010EconTalk
Created: 6/15/2026, 9:36:56 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...