Russ Roberts
About
EconTalk host and economist; longtime friend of Belsky
Claims by Russ Roberts (20)
The Boeing/FAA case illustrates market-versus-government failure: Boeing has strong incentives not to crash planes, but the economist's nuance is that firms may cut corners for short-term profit; government 'can' help by checking corner-cutting—but the real question is whether the FAA in practice reduces corner-cutting or merely makes life harder for Boeing without adding expertise the manufacturer lacks.
Because the long-term safety trend is unchanged by the creation of OSHA, the burden of proof falls on regulation's defenders to demonstrate that top-down mandates—rather than bottom-up emergent improvements—actually averted worse outcomes, and to specify the mechanism by which inspectors teach firms something they don't already know.
Safety has improved across every dimension of life (auto, workplace) for as long as data exist (50-100 years) because safety is a normal good—positively correlated with income—so as people grow more prosperous they devote more resources to safety and firms compete to provide safer products that consumers will pay a premium for.
The Austrian critique holds that perfect information is an unrealistic policy goal—analogous to demanding the elimination of friction in physics—since imperfect information is inherent to the world, making information-failure arguments a 'strawman' when judged against an idealized benchmark.
The federal funds rate is the competitively-determined market rate banks charge each other for overnight loans to meet reserve requirements, which the Fed influences by injecting or withdrawing money, whereas the discount rate is administratively set (posted, not a market rate) at which member banks can borrow directly from the Fed's discount window.
The persistence of the dysfunctional Fed is explained by a 'bootleggers and Baptists' dynamic: the public thirsts for the comforting belief that someone is steering the economy (Baptists), while economists within the Fed and politicians reap personal benefits from sustaining that fantasy and have a natural incentive to keep the myth going rather than strip out their own power (bootleggers).
The standard transmission mechanism from monetary expansion to stimulus is in question because banks are holding the injected reserves as excess reserves rather than lending them, so the enormous reserve injections have not produced expected inflation—calling into doubt the Fed's ability to offset business-cycle swings.
Discretionary monetary policy with 'open hands' has been an abject failure in many countries (e.g., Zimbabwe's hyperinflation) and even in the US has been indicted for the low rates of 2002-2004 precipitating the current crisis, so choosing between gold and discretion is a genuine trade-off rather than a clear win for either.
The gold standard's fixed exchange rate regime transmitted financial disturbances across countries and prevented the use of monetary policy to address the economic crisis, which is supported by the observations that countries not on the gold standard avoided the Great Depression and gold-standard countries only recovered after leaving it.
A fragmented school system avoids divisive political fights (over prayer, evolution, creationism) because families self-sort into schools matching their values, yielding both competition and an escape from the political dissension that inevitably arises when a single solution is forced on everyone.
The spontaneous coordination that makes pizza, beer, hot dogs and croissants all reliably available—on time, on the shelf—for an unusual demand spike like Super Bowl Sunday is marvelous because it requires no central coordinator yet never produces shortages of the unusual goods nor surpluses of the displaced ones.
There is not enough love to go around for society to rely on mutual caring; the power and humanity of the spontaneous, uncoordinated order is precisely that it does not require love to function well, whereas a society that genuinely relied on universal love would be in a bad situation.
The reviewer who reacted in horror to a stranger thanking fund manager Peter Lynch for the returns that let him build a home addition—insisting such gratitude belonged to labor unions and political parties—reveals the people's-romance hostility to private actors as rival focal points of shared experience.
The great danger of the people's romance is not merely inefficiency one can live with, but that bad people will use the romance to do something other than help the elderly; scaling shared-purpose communal arrangements up to the body politic risks not just a different mix of goods but tyranny and real evil.
Smith claims that over time a man who suffers a great misfortune such as losing a leg gradually comes to adopt the view of the impartial spectator and recovers his natural tranquility, with the man who struggles least and most readily acquiesces recovering soonest—paralleling the phenomenon of lottery winners and quadriplegics returning to baseline—but Roberts pushes back that this is a huge leap of empirical faith for tragedies like losing a child, and that Smith, who had no children, may exhibit hubris here.
My Notes
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