George Selgin
About
Economist who wrote about bitcoin's origin and trust problem
Claims by George Selgin (20)
If a free bank ran out of gold in a panic it would shut down and be liquidated, but note and deposit holders often received a complete payout after some delay from the bank's assets and capital, which is why Scotland's overall loss figures were very modest despite occasional individual failures.
The Scottish 'option clause' let banks suspend note redemption while paying note holders the maximum legal 5% interest during suspension, converting the note into a small bond; it developed to defend against rival banks staging note 'raids,' and was an incentive-compatible device never actually used against customer runs.
U.S. banks lost their right to issue notes in two Civil War stages: state banks were taxed out of note issuance, while federally chartered National Banks could only issue notes if backed more than fully by U.S. government securities—a design meant to finance the war, not to improve the monetary system.
Under competitive note issuance, an individual bank that over-issues faces a reserve drain: notes it issues are received and returned for redemption by rival banks, draining its reserves, which strictly limits how much currency any single bank can create—the same discipline that constrains deposit creation today via check-clearing.
In free banking, a private clearinghouse acts as a banker's club that detects banks lending too aggressively before the public does, expelling them and prompting other banks to refuse their notes—as happened to the Ayr Bank in Adam Smith's day, which collapsed quickly with losses borne mainly by its shareholders.
A bank note, unlike a deposit account, is a financial asset traded in a secondary market and priced by expert market makers, so any doubt about a bank's solvency causes its notes to trade at a discount immediately—giving note holders faster warning signals than a car buyer gets about product quality.
In a free banking system, customers face two screening decisions—which bank to entrust with their money, and which other banks' notes their bank accepts—so a bank's willingness to accept another's notes signals that bank's safety, and banks not in good standing get weeded out of the system.
Because National Bank notes had to be backed by government securities, as the government retired its post-Civil War debt it became exceedingly costly to supply currency, so the currency supply shrank even as the country grew rapidly, causing severe currency shortages and financial crises in the late 19th and early 20th centuries.
The option clause is incentive-compatible: if correctly designed with the right interest rate, it only pays a bank to invoke it (rather than wind up) when the bank is actually solvent but facing an irrational panic; an insolvent bank with bad loans gains nothing from invoking it and simply shuts down—so it creates no moral hazard.
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